Here is a breakdown of the study results:
      
Type of surgery              % reporting significant pain 
                                               prior to surgery                    6 months post-op         12 months post-op
Knee replacement                      84                                           39                                38
Breast surgery                            0                                             20                                18       
The presence of memory impairment and/or executive function disorders predicted which individuals experienced post operative pain.  These persons had findings on brain MRI that indicated some abnormalities of areas where the pain signal processing AND memory/executive function are located. 
From the results of this study, it appears that there is some ability to forecast the risk of post operative chronic pain--simply by knowing the patient's mental functional ability.  It's potentially a powerful tool in the war on chronic pain, don't you think?
Sources: Psychiatryonline,blushblog.com
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